컨텐츠 영역
Infectious Disease Prediction Analysis Cases
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<2024 Summer COVID-19 ARI Prediction>
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<24-25 Season Winter Influenza ARI Prediction>
The image consists of two graphs showing case studies of infectious disease prediction analysis.
Left Graph: 2024 Summer COVID-19 ARI Prediction
- The vertical axis represents the number of ARI (Acute Respiratory Infection) patients, and the horizontal axis represents the weeks (Week 1 to Week 41).
- The actual number of hospitalized patients (green line) sharply increased between Weeks 28 and 34, reaching a peak of over 1,400 patients, and then showed a decreasing trend.
- The predicted result (red dotted line) continued to decrease after Week 36, and by Week 40, it was expected to drop to about 200 patients or less.
Right Graph: 2024–2025 Winter Influenza ARI Prediction
- The vertical axis represents the number of ARI patients, and the horizontal axis represents the weeks (Week 36 to Week 11).
- The "2022–2023 season" (green line) remained at relatively low levels.
- The "2023–2024 season" (blue line) peaked at around 1,000 patients in Week 51.
- The "2024–2025 season forecast" (pink line) is expected to increase more steeply than before, reaching a peak of about 1,400 patients in Week 52, and then decrease sharply over the next 3–5 weeks.
Overall, the 2024 COVID-19 pandemic is expected to peak in the summer and then decline, while the influenza season in 2024–2025 is predicted to have a stronger winter surge compared to previous years.
Left Graph: 2024 Summer COVID-19 ARI Prediction
- The vertical axis represents the number of ARI (Acute Respiratory Infection) patients, and the horizontal axis represents the weeks (Week 1 to Week 41).
- The actual number of hospitalized patients (green line) sharply increased between Weeks 28 and 34, reaching a peak of over 1,400 patients, and then showed a decreasing trend.
- The predicted result (red dotted line) continued to decrease after Week 36, and by Week 40, it was expected to drop to about 200 patients or less.
Right Graph: 2024–2025 Winter Influenza ARI Prediction
- The vertical axis represents the number of ARI patients, and the horizontal axis represents the weeks (Week 36 to Week 11).
- The "2022–2023 season" (green line) remained at relatively low levels.
- The "2023–2024 season" (blue line) peaked at around 1,000 patients in Week 51.
- The "2024–2025 season forecast" (pink line) is expected to increase more steeply than before, reaching a peak of about 1,400 patients in Week 52, and then decrease sharply over the next 3–5 weeks.
Overall, the 2024 COVID-19 pandemic is expected to peak in the summer and then decline, while the influenza season in 2024–2025 is predicted to have a stronger winter surge compared to previous years.